Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
0 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 2
BBU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 2
SHW
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 2
BRI
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |