FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Newcastle vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
1 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
QPR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
2 - 0
COV
67%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 2
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
LUT
2 - 1
DER
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 0
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
NOT
1 - 2
LUT
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
WBA
1 - 1
LUT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
LUT
2 - 1
GRI
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |