Newcastle vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 0
PNE
84%
11%
6%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 2
COV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
QPR
2 - 1
LUT
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
1 - 1
QPR
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
3 - 0
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1987 |
LIV
0 - 0
LUT
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
LUT
1 - 0
LEI
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |