Newcastle vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1956 |
NEW
0 - 3
WBA
65%
18%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
SUN
1 - 6
NEW
61%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
NEW
5 - 0
PNE
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
2 - 1
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
SHE
0 - 4
LUT
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
TOT
2 - 1
LUT
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
2 - 1
CHA
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |