Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1989 |
NEW
0 - 0
WAT
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1989 |
ASV
3 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 2
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
MIL
0 - 2
LIV
30%
28%
43%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1989 |
SHW
2 - 2
LIV
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
CUM
0 - 3
LIV
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1989 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASV
73%
18%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |