Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
DER
1 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
NEW
1 - 2
BPO
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
NEW
1 - 1
NTT
65%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 0
NEW
35%
29%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
WBA
1 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 1
CRY
78%
16%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
LIV
4 - 0
HUR
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1970 |
BPO
0 - 0
LIV
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |