Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
NEW
0 - 0
HUR
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 2
LIV
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 2
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |