Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 1
NEW
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 4
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 1
LIV
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |