Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 3
NEW
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
4 - 2
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 7
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 2
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 4
HUR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
7 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
MID
3 - 3
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |