Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
LEI
1 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 3
MUD
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 2
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
LEI
2 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |