Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
LEI
3 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 4
NEW
52%
23%
26%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
LIV
4 - 2
HUR
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
LIV
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
LIV
5 - 2
SHW
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
LIV
4 - 2
BBU
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |