Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 3
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 0
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
LIV
7 - 2
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
BUR
3 - 0
LIV
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
CHL
3 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
LIV
0 - 5
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |