Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOT
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
LIV
4 - 0
BRI
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
SHW
1 - 0
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |