Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 5
ASV
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
4 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
6 - 0
FUL
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 3
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
7 - 4
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |