Newcastle vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
DER
0 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 1
PNE
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
MID
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
LIV
6 - 1
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
LIV
5 - 4
MAC
59%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 3
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHW
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |