Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
17%
23%
61%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
LEE
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 3
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOU
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 1
LEI
4%
12%
84%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 1
FUL
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEI
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 3
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 3
LEI
7%
16%
77%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |