Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
NEW
1 - 1
BBU
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
LEE
4 - 1
NEW
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
NEW
2 - 0
HUL
93%
5%
1%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
NEW
1 - 0
TOT
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1997 |
LEI
2 - 1
WHU
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
GRI
3 - 1
LEI
20%
25%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 2
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
LEI
0 - 2
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |