Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
WOL
1 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 3
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
EVE
4 - 4
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
LEI
0 - 4
LIV
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEI
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
LEI
2 - 1
IPS
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
WBA
2 - 0
LEI
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
LEI
0 - 0
LEE
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |