Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
IPS
0 - 3
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
1 - 2
BIR
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
STO
0 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEI
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
LEI
3 - 3
BIR
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
SHE
4 - 0
LEI
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
LEI
0 - 0
DER
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
LUT
3 - 0
LEI
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |