Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
NEW
2 - 0
OPA
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
WOL
1 - 3
NEW
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHL
51%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
38%
22%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
LEI
3 - 1
LUT
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 2
LEI
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1958 |
PNE
3 - 1
LEI
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1958 |
LEI
2 - 2
WBA
53%
20%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1958 |
LEI
2 - 2
PNE
42%
22%
36%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |