Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
SHE
6 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
5 - 1
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1955 |
MAC
2 - 2
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
LEI
2 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 1
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEI
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
3 - 1
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |