Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1929 |
WHU
5 - 1
NEW
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
4 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 1
BBU
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 1
LEI
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
LEI
3 - 3
SHE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1929 |
LEI
4 - 1
MUD
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
HUR
3 - 2
LEI
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
LEI
6 - 1
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |