Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 0
NEW
38%
30%
32%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
1 - 7
BBU
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
6 - 3
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
BOL
2 - 2
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 2
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 3
LEE
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
4 - 0
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |