Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
WOL
3 - 1
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 3
SUN
72%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
SHW
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1908 |
STO
0 - 1
LEI
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
LEI
3 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1908 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
LEY
0 - 1
LEI
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |