Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
LEI
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 1
BHA
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 0
LEE
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 0
LEE
71%
17%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
WBA
0 - 5
LEE
38%
25%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LEE
1 - 0
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |