Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 2
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHU
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1959 |
LUT
4 - 2
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1959 |
WHU
3 - 0
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
49%
22%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 1
BBU
42%
24%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
BPO
3 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1959 |
LEE
1 - 3
WOL
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1959 |
LEE
4 - 0
CHL
43%
24%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEE
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |