Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
CHA
1 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
NEW
0 - 3
MAC
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 2
LUT
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
PNE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 2
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 1
BIR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
CAR
4 - 1
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |