Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
NEW
9 - 2
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
EVE
3 - 7
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
1 - 2
NEW
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
MID
2 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
LEE
4 - 0
BBU
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEE
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
LEE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |