Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 0
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
LEE
2 - 0
SHE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEE
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
LEE
2 - 1
BBU
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 2
LEE
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
LEE
1 - 1
EVE
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |