Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 1
SHE
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1925 |
TOT
2 - 1
LEE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
WHU
0 - 0
LEE
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 1
BBU
37%
28%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 1
WBA
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |