Newcastle vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
FUL
3 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
EVE
1 - 3
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 2
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MID
0 - 0
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
IPS
1 - 0
INT
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
IPS
1 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CHL
2 - 1
IPS
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
HEL
1 - 3
IPS
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |