Newcastle vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
41%
25%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
NTT
1 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
NEW
3 - 2
COV
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
QPR
3 - 1
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
IPS
1 - 0
NTT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1986 |
IPS
0 - 1
WHU
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1986 |
IPS
1 - 1
WHU
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
IPS
2 - 1
LIV
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |