Europa League 1/32
Global 7-1
Newcastle vs Bnei Sakhnin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
3 - 0
BBU
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ASV
4 - 2
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 2
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 1
TOT
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Sakhnin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BSA
0 - 1
MTA
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HHA
1 - 0
BSA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
BSA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BSA
4 - 3
HBS
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
BSA
3 - 0
PAR
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |