Newcastle vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
5 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
3 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 3
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
5 - 2
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
GRI
4 - 1
SHE
32%
22%
46%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
LEI
1 - 0
GRI
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
GRI
1 - 4
LEI
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
DER
5 - 4
GRI
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
GRI
0 - 3
EVE
40%
23%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |