Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Newcastle vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
GLA
0 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
5 - 0
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1969 |
GLA
0 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1969 |
GLA
1 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1969 |
DUN
3 - 2
GLA
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
GLA
3 - 0
GRE
64%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |