Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 1
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
WIG
2 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
ANZ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
STO
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FUL
3 - 2
QPR
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOT
0 - 1
FUL
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 2
FUL
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FUL
1 - 0
STO
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 0
FUL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |