Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
FUL
3 - 1
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHL
3 - 1
FUL
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MID
0 - 0
FUL
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
FUL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |