Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
WOL
2 - 2
NEW
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
SHE
2 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
3 - 2
COV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
NTT
4 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
FUL
1 - 2
WBA
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
BUR
2 - 0
FUL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
FUL
0 - 3
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
LEI
1 - 2
FUL
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
FUL
2 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |