Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
NTT
3 - 0
NEW
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 0
WOL
36%
23%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 2
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
BUR
0 - 0
FUL
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 1
WBA
46%
22%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
FUL
3 - 0
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
WHU
1 - 2
FUL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |