Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 1
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
CHA
3 - 0
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
NEW
7 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
WBA
3 - 3
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
MID
2 - 0
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
FUL
5 - 0
STO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1951 |
STO
1 - 1
FUL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |