Newcastle vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHA
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
CHA
2 - 1
FUL
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
FUL
0 - 0
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 1
FUL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |