Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 1-1
Newcastle vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 1
NEW
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
WBA
2 - 2
NEW
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
OBI
2 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 1
NEW
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
6 - 1
BOR
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
DJU
2 - 2
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
DJU
48%
22%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |