Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Newcastle vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
4 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
NEW
1 - 4
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
NEW
0 - 0
CHA
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
RAD
1 - 2
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 1
MOG
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
FKS
0 - 4
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
PAR
4 - 1
ZEL
65%
19%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
PRI
0 - 4
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |