Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Newcastle vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
COV
1 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
NEW
3 - 1
NTT
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
NEW
3 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 0
UFT
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VST
5 - 0
FCP
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |