Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 0
TOT
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
DER
3 - 4
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
WHU
2 - 0
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
24%
50%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
EVE
2 - 0
COV
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
EVE
1 - 2
SHW
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
LIV
3 - 2
EVE
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
MUD
3 - 1
EVE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |