Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
NEW
2 - 1
WIM
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
SHW
0 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
BBU
1 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 0
SWA
87%
9%
4%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
EVE
3 - 1
CRY
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
EVE
5 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 1
EVE
23%
26%
52%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |