Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
NEW
3 - 2
NTT
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NEW
4 - 0
WHU
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 3
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
EVE
3 - 0
WIM
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
LUT
1 - 0
EVE
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
EVE
4 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
MAC
1 - 3
EVE
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |