Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
MUD
5 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1984 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHW
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 3
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
EVE
2 - 1
COV
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 1
IPS
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1984 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
WBA
2 - 1
EVE
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 4
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |