Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 1
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
EVE
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
BRI
0 - 1
EVE
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
EVE
3 - 3
QPR
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 1
WHU
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |