Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
STO
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEI
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1974 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
TOT
0 - 2
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
3 - 1
EVE
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |